In a nation where one party owns the press – the GOP – how do you tell what the polls really are. In 2000 all the polls showed Bush ahead of Gore but when the election happened Gore won the popular vote by 500,000 votes.
So – in this “too close to call” race – how do we know what’s really happening? Is the media covering up Kerry’s lead? I think so. Here’s why.
I look at where the battleground is. Remember that the base line is the last election. In all that states that Gore won – Kerry is safely ahead. In all the states that were close – Kerry is ahead in most of them. The rest are too close to call. And in states that Bush won in 2000 – several of them are now battleground states.
So – since technically Gore won the last election and Kerry is doing better – it’s looking good. However – there’s still those rigged voting machines and other dirty tricks yet to be played. Look for more talk of suspending elections or other power grabs. Kerry also has to get a 5 point lead just to compensate for GOP cheating.
Here’s an Electoral Vote site that shows the trend.